Public Sentiment In Times Of Terror

This SoDa LABS working paper from the Monash Business School examines public sentiment surrounding terrorism:

Do citizens hold their government accountable for the delivery of public goods? The literature has traditionally answered this question using temporally aggregated voting data. This paper proposes an alternative, fine-grained approach to explore the short term dynamics underlying public sentiments towards governments. Focusing on terror attacks as a government accountability shock, and using highfrequency, text-based event data to quantify public sentiments, I find that the average level of P ublic Discontent increases by approximately 14% in the 11 months following a successful terror attack. This effect is not merely driven by fear, and is influenced by information on government competence and attack-specific features. Citizens are less reproachful if the government made a reasonable effort to keep the public safe, and for events that may be beyond the government’s control. Interestingly, young leaders and new leaders demonstrate an ability to mobilize the masses to rally ’round the flag in the aftermath of terror attacks.

Read The Full Paper.